Speaker Biograghy: Richard is a Senior Violent Risk Forecaster in IHS’s Country Risk team, specialising in global terrorism and crisis management/response. He worked previously for the UK Government at RAF Strike Command before spending much of his Civil Service career in national security. In the Civil Contingencies Secretariat in 2002, he led the team developing and delivering a risk-informed programme to improve the UK's ability to respond to disruptive events. Following recommendations made in Lord Butler's review, he was then part of a team recommending improvements to processes, resourcing and training around the government's assessment of intelligence. He then led the MOD's security programme in Northern Ireland until the end of Operation Banner in June 2007. On promotion to the Senior Civil Service, he headed the team in the Cabinet Office's Assessments Staff providing strategic intelligence assessments on Iraq and global terrorism to the Joint Intelligence Committee, Prime Minister and Cabinet Ministers.


Day 1 - 15 March
Session: Aviation & Border Security, Control & Facilitation

10:10 - 11:00 - PANEL DISCUSSION: Understanding your risks – the use of private intelligence providers
Synopsis: Panel Chair: Charles Sitkoff, Manager - Security Intelligence & Risk Assessment, Delta Air Lines, USA The aviation security industry is increasingly dependent on intelligence services via the private sector. Their services are beneficial because these companies are able to provide accurate information. Some services provide a dashboard of global to-the-hour information; others provide deeper intelligence based on regular engagement with their customers. But most airlines and airports employ their own security directors and have relationships with government intelligence agencies, so why are the services of external companies required? What model of information is the best for the aviation sector? What is the value proposition and the risk for companies that do not employ such services?

Audience will learn:

• Why airline security departments employ private intelligence service providers
• The value that intelligence service provides to its customers
• Risk that operators without the most current and accurate information may face
• Potential applications for intelligence services for other players besides airlines

Day 1 - 15 March
Session: Aviation & Border Security, Control & Facilitation

16:35 - 17:00 - Data-driven analysis of aviation risks and opportunities
Synopsis: The presentation will explore in detail an all-source, open-source approach to risk forecasting involving the use of a variety of intelligence sources (social and local media, human sources, geospatial intelligence). It will include their advantages and disadvantages, analysis methodologies, visualisation techniques to identify and understand the likely development of the risk environment and, importantly, the opportunities for the aviation sector around the world, including developing markets, using one or two case studies.

Audience will learn:

• New data sources, analytical and presentation methods
• The advantages and disadvantages of different sources of information and data
• Understand some bespoke methods of analysis and risk presentation focused on specific client requirements
• Understanding of how these techniques provide actionable intelligence and forecasts through a couple of case studies